单项选择题
Any physical theory is always
provisional, in the sense that it is only a hypothesis: you can never prove in.
No matter how many times the results of experiments agree with some theory, you
can never be sure that the next time the result will not contradict the theory.
On the other hand, you can disprove a theory by finding even a single
observation that disagrees with the predictions of the theory. As philosopher of
science Karl Popper has emphasized, a good theory is characterized by the fact
that it makes a number of predictions that could in principle be disproved or
falsified by observation. Each time new experiments are observed to agree with
the predictions the theory survives, and our confidence in it is increased; but
if ever a new observation is found to disagree, we have to abandon or modify the
theory. At least that is what is supposed to happen, but you can always question
the competence of the person who carried out the observation. In practice, what often happens is that a new theory is devised that is really an extension of the previous theory. For example, very accurate observations of the planet Mercury revealed a small difference between its motion and the predictions of Newton’s theory of gravity. Einstein’s general theory of relativity predicted a slightly different motion from Newton’s theory. The fact that Einstein’s predictions matched what was seen, while Newton’s did not, was one of the crucial confirmations of the new theory. However, we still use Newton’s theory for all practical purposes because the difference between its predictions and those of general relativity is very small in the situations that we normally deal with. (Newton’s theory also has the great advantage that it is much simpler to work with than Einstein’s!) |