TEXT B People are moving to
cities in droves. In 1950, two-thirds of the world’s population lived in the
countryside. New York was then the only settlement with more than 10 million
people. Today there are 20 such megacities, and more are on their way.
Most of these megacities are in developing countries that are struggling
to cope with both the speed and the scale of human migration. Estimates of the
future spread of urbanization are based on the observation that in Europe, and
in North and South America, the urban share of the total population has
stabilized at 75%-85%. If the rest of the world follows this path it is expected
that in the next decade an extra 100 million people will join the cities of
Africa, and 340 million the cities of Asia: the equivalent of a new Bangkok
every two months. By 2030 nearly two-thirds of the world’s population will be
urban. In the long run, that is good news. If countries now
industrializing follow the pattern of those that have already done so, their
city-dwellers will be both more prosperous and healthier. Man is gregarious
species, and the words" urbane" and "civilized" both derive from the advantages
of living in large settlements. History also shows, though, that
the transition can be uncomfortable. The slums of Manchester were, in their
time, just as awful as those of Nairobi today. But people moved there for
exactly the same reason: however nasty conditions seemed, the opportunities of
urban life outstripped those of the countryside. The question is how best to
handle the change. If there is one thing that everybody agrees
on, it is that urbanization is unstoppable. Migrants attempting to escape
poverty, and refugees escaping conflict, are piling into cities in what the
executive director of UN-HABITAT, Anna, Tibailjuka, describes as" premature
urbanization," Dr Tibaijuka believes it might be possible to
slow the pace of migration from the countryside with policies that enhance
security and rural livelihoods. There is room for debate, though, over whether
better rural development in any form can seriously slow the pace of
urbanization-- or even whether such a slowdown would be a good thing.
Michael Mutter, an urban planning adviser at the British government’ s
Department for International Development (DFID), says that the relevant
indicators suggest that in many countries the effective" carrying capacity" of
rural areas has been reached. As happened in Europe in the 18th century,
population growth and technological improvements to agriculture are creating a
surplus population. That surplus has to go somewhere to earn its
living. Indeed, some people go so far so to argue that
governments, international donors and aid agencies spend too much on rural
development and neglect the cities. Most countries have a rural development
policy, but only a few have urban ones. DFID, for example, spends only 5% of its
budget directly on urban development. Moreover, these critics point out that,
although rural areas often have worse sanitation, illiteracy and homelessness
than cities, such figures are deceptive. Being illiterate, homeless or without
access to a flush toilet are far more serious problems in a crowded city than in
the countryside. Of the many lessons being learnt from past
urban-development failures, One of the most important is that improvements must
involve local people in a meaningful way. Even when it comes to the poorest
slum-dwellers, some governments and city authorities are realizing that people
are their own greatest assets. Slumdwellers International is a collection of
"grassroots" federations of people living in slums. Its idea is simple.
Slum-dwellers in a particular place get together and form a federation to
strengthen local savings and credit schemes, and to lobby for greater
co-operation with the authorities. Such federations are having a big impact on
slum-upgrading schemes around the world. By surveying local
needs ’and acting as voices for shim-dwellers, these federations have been able
to show the authorities that slum-dwellers are not simply a homogenous and
anonymous mass of urban poor, but are real people in need of real services. They
have also been able to apply pressure for improvements in security of
tenure—either through temporary guarantees of residency or, better still, formal
ownership. Such secure tenure gives people an incentive to improve their
dwellings and is thus the crucial first step to upgrading a slum into a
suburb. Over the past six years, South Africa’s government has
been pursuing an active programme of housing improvement. The government quickly
realized that, with the poor in the majority, providing social housing for ail
would be impossible. The minister for housing, Sakie Mthembi-Mahanyele, says the
approach that has worked so far has been a combination of government, the
private sector and the poor themselves. The poor, says Mrs. Mthembi-Mahanyele,
have responsibilities, and the government meets them halfway. Those with an
income are expected to contribute some of it to the building of their houses.
Those without are asked to contribute" sweat equity" by helping to build with
their own hands. South Africa has also transferred ownership of
more than 380,000 council houses, worth more than 28 billion rand ($2.7 billion)
to private individuals. With these houses as collateral for loans, owners have
already started to upgrade and improve their properties. There is still a long
way to go. An estimated 2-3 million more houses are needed. She adds that the
government is still wrestling with financial institutions to get a better deal
for the poor. Anna Tibaijuka (Para. 5) and Michael Mutter (para.7) seem to differ over______
A.the benefits of urbanization. B.the process of urbanization C.the causes of urbanization. D.the cost of urbanization.