TEXT D In a new book called
Predictions, some of the world’s greatest thinkers present a vision of the
future with overtones of a science fiction film. Futuristic author Arthur C
Clarke and others suggest that a new life form will evolve from artificially
intelligent machines. Humans vying for dominance will turn to genetics and
cryogenics to compete. Clarke, although he is seen as a
visionary, has got it wrong before. There’s no sign of Hal the dominating
computer from the film 2001: A Space Odyssey (written by Arthur C Clarke)
appearing on the horizon next year to dominate human life. Even so, computers
have changed the way that we work and play. The Internet is changing business,
seemingly sweeping everything along on an e-tide. The Web will change the way we
work -- more of us will work from home. Futurist Ian Pearson
sees a convergence between intelligent computers and biotechnology, the advent
of implanted chips and enhanced intelligence. Both machines and humans will have
access to a global net with instant access to the world’s knowledge. But Pearson
also fears that it could divide the world into two classes -- those with access
to this knowledge and those without access. And obviously there is a risk in
losing control of things that think. Pearson expects machines to be as smart as
humans by 2015. After that, computers will continue to get smarter.
The trouble with the digital revolution, says MIT Media Lab director Neil
Gershenfeld in his book When Things Start to Think, is that computers may have
speeded up many of the processes of modem life, but they still remain relatively
difficult to use. "Most computers are nearly blind, deaf and dumb," says
Gershenfeld. "These inert machines channel the richness of human communication
through a keyboard and mouse. The speed of the computer is increasingly much
less of a concern than the difficulty in telling it what you want it to do, or
in understanding what it has done, or in using it where you want to go, rather
than where it can go." What’s needed now, he concludes, is
digital evolution. The real challenge is how to create systems with many
components that can work together and change, merging the physical world with
the digital world. "If we can manage the development so that
they (thinking machines) stay our friends, in just a few years we’ll see
progress in every area of life that makes the preceding millennia look like we’
ye all been asleep." Evolution is a consequence of interaction,
says Gershenfeld. "And information technology is profoundly changing how we
interact. Therefore it’ s not crazy to think about the impact of this on
evolution." When the author says that it’s not crazy to think about the impact of this on evolution, he means______.
A.the progress in biography is so great that people feel astonished B.the progress in cryogenics is so great that people feel astonished C.the progress in information technology has great influence on human D.the progress in information technology is beneficial to human