Passage Two
We can begin our discussion of "population as global issue"
with what most persons mean when they discuss "the population problem": too many
people on earth and a too rapid increase in the number added each year. The
facts are not in dispute; it was quite right to employ the analogy that likened
demographic growth to "a long, thin powder fuse that burns steadily and
haltingly until it finally reaches the charge and explodes". To
understand the current situation, which is characterized by rapid increases in
population, it is necessary to understand the history of population trends.
Rapid growth is a comparatively recent phenomenon. Looking back at the 8,000
years of demographic history, we find that populations have been virtually
stable or growing very slightly for most of human history. For most of our
ancestors, life was hard, often nasty, and very short. There was high fertility
in most places, but this was usually balanced by high mortality. For most of
human history, it was seldom the case that one in ten persons would live past
forty, while infancy and childhood Were especially risky periods. Often,
societies were in clear danger of extinction because death rates could exceed
their birthrates. Thus, the population problem throughout most of history was
how to prevent extinction of the human race. This pattern is
important to notice. Not only does it put the current problems of demographic
growth into a historical perspective, but it suggests that the cause of rapid
increase in population in recent years is not a sudden enthusiasm for more
children, but an improvement in the conditions that traditionally have caused
high mortality. Demographic history can be divided into two
major periods: a time of long, slow growth which extended from about 8000 B.C.
till approximately 1650 A.D. In the first period of some 9,600 years, the
population increased from some 8 million to 500 million in 1650. Between 1650
and 1975, the population has increased from 500 million to more than 4 billion.
And the population reached 6.2 billion throughout the world by the year 2000.
One way to appreciate this dramatic difference in such abstract numbers is to
reduce the time frame to something that is more manageable. Between 8000 B.C.
and 1650, an average of only 50,000 parsons was being added annually to the
world’s population. At present, this number is added every six hours. The
increase is about 80,000,000 persons annually. The author of the passage intends to ______.
A.warn people against the population explosion in the near future B.compare the demographic growth pattern in the past with that after 1650 C.find out the cause for rapid increase in population in recent years D.present us a clear and complete picture of the demographic growth