TEXT D Going Forth, The Nations
Multiply Unevenly Despite was, famines, and epidemics, Earth’s
population is booming ahead to new records—with no end insight.
Every day, the world adds enough people to populate a medium-sized city in
the US. In one month, the number of new world citizens equals the population of
New York City. Every year, there are 90 million more mouths to feed, more than
the total population of Germany. Several factors are propelling
this rapid growth, including an element that is often overlooked the huge number
of teenagers who are becoming mothers, particularly in the countries of
sub-Saharan Africa In four African nations m Niger, Mali, Sierra Leone, and
Ivory Coast—1 out of every 5 adolescent females of childbearing age has a baby
annually. The US Bureau of the Census says this high rate of motherhood among
teens has helped to maintain the high pace of births across most of the African
continent By starting a family early, a typical woman is Somalia, for instance,
has seven children during her lifetime. Equally large families are the rule in
Zambia, Zaire, Uganda, Mauritania, Mall, Malawi, and Ethiopia.
The current record-holder for fertility is strife-torn Rwanda, where a
typical mother has at least eight or nine children. While population experts
often focus on Africa’s problems, analysts note that teenaged mothers are also
far more prevalent in the United States than in France, Germany, Italy, Sweden,
or Britain. This issue— "babies having babies" —has recently
gained prominence in the US. Teenaged motherhood in the US has fueled an
expansion of the state federal welfare system and brought cries for welfare
reform from lawmakers. With its high rate of teen births, the US
now ranks alongside Indonesia and parts of South America and only modestly ahead
of Mexico, India, and Pakistan. Overall, the fertility rate
among Americans remains relatively low at 2.1 births per woman—about the
replacement level. Although the US population is expected to climb steadily,
from 260 million today to 323 million by 2020, most of that growth will come
from immigration The Census Bureau estimates that in Haiti,
where thousands of citizens are trying to flee to the US because of military
oppression and poverty, AIDS will cut the annual growth rate during the next 25
years from 2.1 percent to 1.3 percent. The decline in growth is
even slim-per in the Central African Republic, where rates will dip from 2.4
percent to 0.7 percent. In Thailand, which already had low birth rates AIDS will
drive population downward to 0.8 percent a year. In the 16 countries that are
hit hardest, AIDS will lower populations by 121 million over expected
projections by 2020. In Africa, the impact of AIDS is so great that trends
toward longer life spans during the past 40 years are being reversed Some
nations will suffer declines in average life spans of 10 to 30 years compared
with expected life spans without AIDS. In the US, where AIDS is
also a substantial problem, the impact will be lower because the disease is
mostly limited to homosexuals and drug users, says Peter Way, a Census Bureau
researcher. In many African nations, AIDS is prevalent among the heterosexual
population, which sharply boosts infant mortality. A compelling
chapter in the research deals with aging. Today the median age in developed
countries is 35, and in developing nations me only 23. By 2020, the
corresponding figures will be 42 and 28. Today there are fewer adults over 60
($25 million), than children under 5 (636 million). As the world population
ages, by 2020 the number over 60 will be more than; 1 billion, while those under
5 will total 717 million. Sub-Saharan African countries______.
A.will have the largest world population by 2020 B.have the highest reproductive rate in the world C.are only modestly affected by AIDS D.will have increasingly long life spans