TEXT F In the atmosphere, carbon
dioxide acts rather like a one-way mirror--the glass in the roof of a greenhouse
which allows the sun’s rays to enter but prevents the heat from
escaping. According to a weather expert’s prediction, the
atmosphere will be 3℃ warmer in the year 2050 than it is today, if man continues
to burn fuels at the present rate. If this warming up took place, the ice caps
in the poles would begin to melt, thus raising sea level several meters and
severely flooding coastal cities. Also, the increase in atmospheric temperature
would lead to great changes in the climate of the northern hemisphere, possibly
resulting in an alteration of the earth’s chief food-growing zones.
In the past, concern about a man-made warming of the earth has
concentrated on the Arctic because the Antarctic is much colder and has a much
thicker ice sheet. But the weather experts are now paying more attention to West
Antarctic, which may be affected by only a few degrees of warming, in other
words, by a warming on the scale that will possibly take place in the next fifty
years from the burning of fuels. Satellite pictures show that
large areas of Antarctic ice are already disappearing. The evidence available
suggests that a warming has taken place. This fits the theory that carbon
dioxide warms the earth. However, most of the fuel is burnt in
the northern hemisphere, where temperatures seem to be falling. Scientists
conclude, therefore, that up to now natural influences on the weather have
exceeded those caused by man. The question is. Which natural cause has most
effect on the weather One possibility is the variable behavior
of the sun. Astronomers at one research station have studied the hot spots and
"cold" spots (that is, the relatively less hot spots) on the sun. As the sun
rotates, every 27.5 days, it presents hotter or "colder" faces to the earth, and
different aspects to different parts of the earth. This seems to have a
considerable effect on the distribution of the earth’s atmospheric pressure, and
consequently on wind circulation. The sun is also variable over a long term: its
heat output goes up and down in cycles, the latest trend being
downward. Scientists are now finding mutual relations between
models of solar-weather interactions and the actual climate over many thousands
of years, including the last Ice Age. The problem is that the models are
predicting that the world should be entering a new Ice Age and it is not. One
way of solving this theoretical difficulty is to assume a delay of thousands of
years while the solar effects overcome the inertia of the earth’s climate. If
this is right, the warming effect of carbon dioxide might thus be serving as a
useful counterbalance to the sun’s diminishing heat. It can be concluded that a concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere would______.
A.prevent the sun’s rays from reaching the earth’s surface B.mean a warming up in the Arctic C.account for great changes in the climate in the northern hemisphere D.raise the temperature of the earth’s surface